Dodging the Bullet

Some time ago PBS broadcast a series on the rise of Hitler. I recorded several of the episodes and watched the 1933-1934 episode again last night when Hitler had his best friend, Ernst Rohm, leader of the Storm Troopers, executed as part of his final consolidation of power when scores of his followers whom he perceived as threats to his power were killed in what came to be known as the “Night of the Long Knives.” What struck me most about the series—and especially the portrait presented in the Night of the Long Knives episode—was how similar Hitler was compared to Trump in terms of personality. He was egotistical, narcissist, obsessed with power and without a conscience. Murdering to achieve a goal was not an issue. The day following the Night of the Long Knives, he hosted an elaborate cocktail party for his top lieutenants, all sycophants. The PBS episode noted that hardly a word was spoken at the joyous gala about the executions that had occurred the preceding day.

You may argue that the comparison is not fair because Trump as far as we know  never actually murdered anyone. Yes, but still….

Another similarity that came out of the episode was how divided Germany was before Hitler came into power—Communists, Socialists, intellectuals, business people, professionals,   the elite establishment, the army, and the alienated working class–all vying for power and at each other’s throats. Germany was in chaos in the 1920s and early 30s . Inflation was in the triple digits. Many were jobless. Few felt safe or secure. Hitler’s appeal was that he promised stability for the country, and he promised retribution. He would save the country from its dominance by the elites and the rich, from instability, from sky rocketing inflation, from fuzzy-headed intellectuals, and from the Communist revolutionaries. He would make Germany “great again.” He promised that those who had suffered most would get even—a populist message that resonated among the workers and many in the lower and middle class who had been hurt most by the Great Recession and Germany’s post war humiliation.

 The result was that Hitler drew support from people who were mesmerized by his charismatic leadership and by his message and who became his loyal devotees, enthusiastic to do his bidding. Some have observed that his most ardent followers were like a cult. They became Hitler’s “base” and supported him at all costs. The base intimidated many in government and politics and people suspected of not being loyal to Hitler. While his base probably never totaled more than 40% of the population, it was strong enough to cause ordinary citizens and people of good will to to remain silent on the sidelines.

Sound familiar?

You may argue that no, the divisions in Germany  were far more pronounced  than they are in our divided country, and in the U.S. the opposition to Trump remains strong, thanks in part to a free press and the rule of law. Yes, this is true, but still…

And finally, there was Hitler’s unifying message: make Germany great again and get rid of all those who were not of the pure race, the Aryans. “Making Germany pure  again” was the third leg of the stool and was Hitler’s most compelling, unifying message. In a zero sum game, there are winners and losers; and for Germany to become truly great again, the winners had to rid the country of the losers—gypsies, homosexuals, handicapped people and, most of all, Jews.

You may argue that nothing like this could ever happen in the U.S. You are right that what happened in Germany was far worse than anything that has happened under Trump, but still….

The anti-immigration message of Trump is a major reason for Trump’s popularity and appeal. And ripping children away from their parents as they sought legal asylum in the U.S. has  intimations of what was happening in Germany in the 1930s.

Yes, it could happen here.

But it didn’t, and that is the big story as 2020 mercifully begins to fade into history. We dodged the bullet. Who knows what would have happened if Trump’s effort to overturn the election results had been successful?

Think of the many what ifs. What if the elected officials in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada and Georgia had caved, including the many Republicans who stood firm in certifying a fair election? What if the judges, including many appointed by a Republican president, had allowed the bogus lawsuits to proceed? What if the three Trump appointees on the Supreme Court  had voted in Trump’s favor and persuaded others appointed by Republican Presidents to do so as well –as Trump had assumed they would–and thrown out the election results in these battleground states that Trump lost? If any of these actions had occurred, it would be a different story. We would be facing disaster.

But the dam held. Our institutions and checks and balances did what they were supposed to do. The guard rails worked. Courageous people stood up for what is right. The rule of law won.

But the fight is not over. Over 100 Republican elected representatives—”ReTrumplicans”?– in the House and Senate weighed in in support of Trump  to nullify the votes needed so that  Trump could  win in the battleground states .  States attorneys general from red states all over the country also supported the effort to allow state legislatures controlled by Republicans to appoint electors who would vote for Trump even though the popular vote was for Biden. Republicans supporting Trump are pointing to two more dates when they will have a chance to reverse the election outcome—Monday, December 14, when the electoral votes for president are cast and Wednesday, January 6, when they are officially certified. And Trump still is tweeting that not only did he win by the largest margin in U.S.  history and had the election stolen, he—not Biden—will be sworn in at high noon on January 20. Over 70% of Republicans echo Trump’s mantra that the election was stolen. Trump’s hard-core base is incensed. Some are armed and ready. Just last night thousands of Trump supporters led by the Proud Boys marched in downtown Washington, resulting in dozens of arrests, fist fights with onlookers, and at least four stabbings.

We won this battle. The war is far from over.

 

 

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Advent in Covid Time

Note to reader:   This  is a brief essay that I wrote this week  for the  newsletter for All Souls Episcopal Church, where Embry and I have been members  since the mid 1980s.

What will historians say about the year 2020? There has never been anything like it in my lifetime of almost 80 years. Covid-19 has affected the entire world though the U.S. has been hit the hardest. We have already lost more than 300,000 Americans to this dread disease. Some 15 million of us have been infected, and the number is growing by over 3,000 deaths a day as the pandemic rages on. Is there anyone in the U.S. that does not know of someone who has been infected?    And what about all those who are grieving the thousands who have died?

These are indeed hard times. Many of us feel like we have been confined to house arrest. We are not able to hug friends and be with family and loved ones for special occasions like Thanksgiving and Christmas. We are sick of having to wear masks and to keep our social distancing and are tired of Zooming, though without it we would be even worse off. We are weary of the isolation and the uncertainty. We are wondering how long this will go on, and will we dodge the bullet.

Advent gives us a clue and something to hold on to. As the days get shorter and colder, you can understand why our prehistoric ancestors must have wondered whether every year might be the last. Would the days keep getting shorter until darkness prevailed on the planet forever? But like a miracle, every year the days would start getting longer again. Another bullet dodged.

 Life for many of us humans from time to time has its periods of darkness and despair. We wonder if there is light at the end of the tunnel. We ask—will we get through this?

The message of Advent is that yes, we will. At the end of this darkening season comes Christmas. Days will start getting longer again. On Christmas day we Christians will celebrate the birth of a child in a manger whose life showed us that there is light at the end of this tunnel, that life does have purpose and meaning, that in the end love prevails, that all human life is sacred, and that we all are children of God.

And this Advent, the light is already starting to flicker. Vaccines are on the way. Yes, 2021 will also be hard, but we will get through this.

 

 

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The Trump Case for Election Fraud Reaches the Supreme Court

Your honors, the reason that we are asking the U.S. Supreme Court–with six justices who I know are firmly supportive of our wonderful, but mistreated president–is that we believe that the greatest fraud that has ever taken place in a presidential election is clearly evident and undertaken by a vast conspiracy which we believe is headquartered in the hideous Communist country of Venezuela. And the reason we know that it is a conspiracy is because there is no evidence of fraud anywhere. To pull off something like this means you have to have a conspiracy. So for that reason we are petitioning the court to throw out the election results in Michigan, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Arizona and award the election to the greatest president of all time, my friend and yours, Donald J Trump.

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Time of Reckoning

It is unlikely that we will know the outcome of the election on November 3 because it will take time to count the all mail in ballots. Depending on how close the votes are on election day, we might know the outcome by midnight or, more likely, it could be days or even weeks before the final numbers get sorted out.

We do know that Biden will likely take the popular vote, possibly by a landslide. However, because polls show that both Pennsylvania and Florida are still very close, Trump could eek out a slim electoral college victory like he did in 2016. This year he is likely to be ahead on the votes that are cast on election day in several key battleground states but behind when the mail in ballots are counted since Democrats dominate the mail in voting.

 I believe Trump will lose the electoral college vote once all the ballots are counted. But even if he does lose, there remains a good chance he will refuse to step down, claiming the mail in ballots should not be counted because they are mostly fraudulent and that the election was rigged. How many times has he already told us that?

Trump’s refusal to concede, if backed by McConnell and most Republican elected officials, could lead to a constitutional crisis ending up (perhaps) in the Supreme Court where there is now a 6-3 Republican majority or in   the House of Representatives where each state delegation gets one vote. Republicans control more state delegations in the House than do the Democrats although the number of Democratic representatives is much higher. Deciding the outcome by the Supreme Court or the House of Representatives would likely mean a Trump victory. We could end up with four more years of Trump, elected (again) by a minority of voting Americans.

The United States of America is staring at a potential crisis of monumental proportions. There is no playbook as to what would happen next or how this would play out.

A third scenario is that Trump clearly loses, and that Biden is declared the winner. However, Trump still refuses to concede. McConnell and company stay on the sidelines, maintain their silence, and keep their “social distance.” Trump’s base is outraged, protesting that the election was rigged, some calling for armed resistance. Under this scenario there have been repeated warnings by Homeland Security and organizations like the Southern Poverty Law Center, that militias and vigilante groups may try to “take their country back” through armed conflict, putting us on the verge of a civil war.  There is no playbook for this either. The threat of right wing, domestic terrorism is listed by the Department of Homeland Security as far greater than any threats from foreign adversaries. Trump may be gone, but Trumpism will live on. How will we deal with this?

There is also a fourth scenario: that Biden wins by a wide enough margin both in the popular vote and the electoral college that the Republican establishment is not able to come to his aid or keep silent. They begrudgingly accept the outcome. Biden is declared the winner, and Trump fades into woodwork whimpering and complaining, losing interest in his job, and making plans for another reality tv show. His base is devastated, but except for a few extremists, reluctantly agrees to give Biden a chance. The nation, while still divided, slowly tries to come together under a Biden conciliatory presidency.

America dodges the bullet.

Which of these four scenarios do you think is most likely? What steps can be taken to deal with the outcomes of each of the four possibilities? Can you think of additional scenarios that might happen? This is your chance to weigh in on the blog. How do we get ourselves out of this mess?

One of the things that I still have a hard time figuring out is why Trump’s base is so passionate in their fierce devotion to this deeply flawed man? What is going on? Surely 40 percent of our country are not “evil people.” What are they thinking? What are their values—especially the Christian evangelicals? How can they compare Trump favorably with Jesus Christ?

While I do not have the answer, what I do believe is that Trump is more a symptom than a cause. The anger and loyalty of his base are due in part to a malaise that has been growing during the period of rapid change brought about by globalism, technology and now the pandemic, with huge job losses and uncertainty. Many secure jobs with living wages have disappeared. The country is becoming more diverse ethnically and racially. Winners and losers have emerged. Part of the motivation of the base, I believe, is to try to hold on to what they have, fearing that social and economic change will further threaten their already tenuous position in the world. Many resent the “coastal elites” and those who have college degrees and feel dissed by people who seem to have it easy and who they believe look down their noses on them. I would admit that I—at least somewhat— am guilty as charged.  We who have been dealt a stronger hand have to do our part to try to bridge the culture gap and reach out to those with whom we do not agree politically but with whom we may be able to find some common ground. We all share a common humanity.

Even if Biden wins, the issues that allowed Trump to become president will still be around. It will be a slog. Biden and the Dems will need all the help they (we) can get.

At  this point, five days away from the election, I remain hopeful.  Joe Biden is a good choice to lead our country and to try to bring us together. He has a working class background and a reputation for reaching out across the aisle. He is known for his empathy and for his humility. He is committed to addressing aggressively the issues of inequality, black lives matter, health care, the pandemic,  and climate change.

Maybe, just maybe, there is a thread of hope.

God help us if he loses.

 This is a time of reckoning for the United States of America.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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The Republicans Respond To The President

We Republicans stand by the President in calling for the imprisonment of Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and Sleepy Joe Biden for the worst political crimes in world history. We also stand by his refusal to step down if he loses the election because there is no way that Biden will win legitimately because he will be in jail. And we further believe that since the President has proven that mail-in ballots are fraudulent, the only mail ballot that should count is his, and finally we fully support his decree that the pandemic is no worse than the common cold and masks should be illegal. Vote Republican all the way. We represent the true America!

Hey, do you think they are all starting to lose it?

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Back in the Saddle

Hey, I am back, In charge, Boss, Numero Uno, and healthier than ever. In fact, I was never out of  charge. Not me. No big deal, this fake pandemic. Now if you vote for that no good, wimp Biden over there, you are voting to wear a face mask. A vote for me, no way. You wanna wear a mask all the time? I don’t think so.

But what about all those on your staff who are infected and your Secret Service guards and the 210,000 people who have died?

Errr……

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